Yesterday as scheduled exceeded $4000, after the callback, today there is great uncertainty, so I flat out yesterday’s empty single.
Bitcoin will take the cattle, or start to fall? I think it may not
In my opinion the next trend probably: The shock around 3750-4077 today, the profit slightly more than a single throw off and at the same time make empty single positions increased, thereby reducing the price of empty single warehouse explosion, explosion pull pin, so tomorrow, will be a lot easier, the profit is relatively higher.
The following is a detailed analysis
1, from today’s trend, short of force, it is not very strong, so the slow down trend, more like Youkong
2, although as expected last night rushed to the 4043, but did not appear large explosion single, so I think that, the market is not enough to completely empty burst
3, there are a lot of people in the open space around 4000, from the main profit point, is also likely to kill this part of the funds.
4, at four tomorrow afternoon is the contract delivery period, there is a big uncertainty, do not rule out the main burst once again pulled up, pull the needle may, if the explosion occurred before and after delivery, so that time is the best time to empty.
The more likely it is the trend of today, the profit shocks, slightly more than a single throw off and at the same time make empty single positions increased, thereby reducing the price of empty single warehouse explosion, explosion pull pin, so tomorrow, will be a lot easier, the profit is relatively higher.
Another said some recent thoughts
In the phase of the bear market, the futures contract is the main battlefield, so from the perspective of contract, may be more objective.
The contract market is absolute zero sum game, and in the financial sector zero sum game winner, the winner is often in the minority.
George Soros said the theory of reflexivity is so
Ross believes that the relationship between financial markets and investors: investors according to the information and understanding of the market, the market is expected to trend and act accordingly, and their actions in fact in turn affects and changes the original market may appear the trend of the two constant interaction. It is impossible to master one complete information, plus the investors will also be due to individual problems affect their cognition, generate “bias on the market”.
In the opinion of the author of this text is really the essence of zero sum game
The financial market compared to the zero sum game in a bet on the size of the game, a small open, do not depend on any previous law, what is the only depends on? Is the opponent disk, also after the end of the game, can achieve maximum profit. When the opponent disk to profit most high enough, can occur at any time reversal.
Many people take the technical trend line as a reference, but these are can be done, the main can be piled out of funds
There is a part of the message as a reference, and the message distribution is the main force in the hands of the master, what you see is the main news, want to let you see the message (the author emotionally, yesterday 10%, drop down the difficulty, mining costs almost no media reports)
In addition to create news media, their goal is to profit, rather than give the reader the most accurate investment news, so the accuracy and objectivity of news, these are not guaranteed, of course, more important is to put the message through the main media to confuse you, then you use these messages to make a reference, ending sure, I think it’s too difficult.
In the financial market, especially the bitcoin market, when you and most people agree, is the main one of the best harvest time, because the highest profit, which is why some time ago, most people are going to think when bearish, $2000, $500, I choose why do.
Bitcoin is a highly speculative variety, very cautious in risk, please
This paper is the author’s thinking record, not investment reference.